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NOAA forecasts 75% chance of record El Niño in late 2026

NOAA forecasts 75% chance of record El Niño in late 2026

October 03, 2026

NOAA’s El Niño forecast recalls 1997–98, while a study projects 451,000 extra heat deaths worldwide from June 2026 to February 2027

August 2026 matches global monthly heat record at 16.96°C, Copernicus reports

September 11, 2026

Copernicus reports August 2026 was 1.65°C above pre-industrial levels, with fossil fuel emissions and a strengthening El Niño driving the heat

Strengthening El Niño raises global weather risks into 2027

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 06, 2026

WMO forecasts a near-100% chance that El Niño will persist through February 2027, with further strengthening expected before the year ends.

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